Sei Russia US hurumende zvisungo?

Muzhizha 2016 Russia yakawedzera upfumi ayo US hurumende zvisungo, uye vakauya navo bhiriyoni 91 emadhora, kunyange maviri chete adarika, muna August 2014, pakatanga sectoral zvirango kuzorwa Russia kubva West rokutanga, upfumi yakaderera kusvika $ 66 bhiriyoni. Sei Russia US hurumende zvisungo? Tichaedza kugadzirisa nyaya iyi.

Chikonzero chokutanga: kwerunyararo ari Ruble

Pasinei dzakawanda dzakasiyana kushevedzera "trolls" paIndaneti uye patriots mumigwagwa, vane shoma kunzwisisa US hurumende zvisungo chii upfumi, tsigiro nokuda "muvengi", zvinokosha.

First unofanira kubvisa ngano chikuru; mari zvinangwa zvakadaro havana kubva nehurumende bhajeti. Kuchengetedzeka US chikwereti dzinobva reserves of Central Bank of Russia (Central Bank of Russia), izvo kupedzerwa munyu pamusoro Ruble, mari Software importers, ngava uye zvichingodaro. D.

Kana munhu achifunga kuti chero mbuya haagamuchiri chinhu mudyandigere pamusoro nhandare kuti hurumende Paanoita kuti "vavengi", izvozvo vakarasika zvikuru. CBR - urongwa zvemari akazvimirira, mumwe ane mashandiro - achine rubles. Iyewo, kunoenderana mamiriro upfumi zvarwo, uye zvakawanda zvakananga pamusoro nemugwagwa pachiyero.

The zvakawanda mune zvoupfumi dzakabudirira, paunonyanya kuda kudhinda yomunharaunda mari. Kana pachiyero haakudzwi uye Central Bank achava kudhinda mari yakawanda, ipapo ivo ungadzokera zvavo confetti, zvihwitsi wrappers.

Ngatitaurei kufungidzira kuti ose mugari akapiwa miriyoni emadhora, chii chichaitika ipapo? Mhinduro yacho iri pachena: mitengo kubhururuka sezvinoita hapana vaizvitengesa munhu chishoma chinokosha nokuda bepa. In dzezvoupfumi, ichi anonzi hyperinflation.

Chikonzero chechipiri: kwerunyararo munyika mari liquidity

Zvichienderana mamiriro upfumi, musimboti bhengi kusunungurwa rubles kuti chengetedza. Asi chikuru zvokutengeserana akavhiyiwa zviri kuitwa euros, US madhora, Japanese Yen, British paundi hwakakwirira. Uyewo nhasi ivo vakawedzera Chinese yuan.

Ruble liquidity kuti (uremu), zvakakodzera monetize kwavari, zvikasadaro vacharamba munhuwo confetti. Kare, chiyereso kuitira kuti goridhe aita. Kuti dhora, vachitsigirwa ichi simbi rinokosha, vakawana kutonga munyika, ukuwo President French Charles de Gaulle, rimwe zuva haasi kuunzwa ngarava US pamwe American mari, izvo aida goridhe. Mushure yakadaro nemaune kuita, kwakasarudzwa kusiya Software "notupukanana" anokosha simbi. Asi, US mari akagovera nevimbiso kuti "zvinhu zvose zvichava zvakanaka kwazvo" uye izvi, chokwadi, ndizvo US hurumende zvisungo.

Nemamwe mashoko, Ruble anofanira inopiwa ne chinhu kuitira kuti vanhuwo zvidimbu zvemapepa anogona kubviswa kupinda chero mwana kubva mukabhuku. In basa iri ndivo US hurumende pazvisungo, izvo yakasimbiswa zviri truest pfungwa shoko kukudzwa hurumende American.

Kuchengetedzeka chikwereti mitoro yacho USA ndiwo musimboti chii rubles chero nguva anogona kushandurwa madhora ndiEzekieri. Sezvo kutengesa zvose rakaitirwa dzimwe mari munyika dzinoverengeka, kusanganisira United States, ndiye rubatso kutsiga kutengesa.

Kuti zvimwe pachena, nei kutenga US hurumende zvisungo, vatevedzere mamiriro ezvinhu: vana vatatu achitamba mumba. Vaviri vavo vari okudhindira mari yavo, uye wechitatu atenga. The cheka wayo mari mapepa notibhuku wokutanga, uye haripi, wechipiri - zvikuru nemanomano, iye anochinja ake pepa "nembiri" nokuti chaiko rubles kuti kosi icho unogona kutenga chinhu kuchitoro chairo. Saka, mwana wechipiri chete angarega kuaparadzira, kusiyana wokutanga, izvo zvinogona kudhinda "mari" chero uwandu.

Maererano nenyaya mari, mamiriro acho ezvinhu nehasha akafanana mwana wechipiri mumamiriro ezvinhu: musimboti pamahombekombe zvabudiswa rubles underpinning kuchengetedzeka, vanonzi United States hurumende zvisungo. By pachavo, kuti madhora uyewo akatengwa kubva kuna Federal Reserve US Hurumende nokuda chete pazvisungo, iyo pamwe chete kuumba chikwereti kwokunze.

Reason Three: purofiti

Kuwedzera maviri kare ataurwa zvikonzero, hatifaniri kukanganwa kuti oupfumi muna US hurumende zvisungo vaunze mari chaiyo. Sezvo makambani anogona kuti nechepakati mabhanga, hurumende, yezvokutengeserana establishments uye private makambani. goho ravo dzinodzengerera kumativi 2-3% pagore. Pakutanga, nhamba iri dikisa, asi pane mumwe mukana - yakadereresa kubva muzana ndanyarara hangu chivimbo kudzoka sezvo ravo guru uye purofiti. Hapana mari zvinoridzwa, sezvo vaipikisa hurumende zvisungo vakawanda dzakabudirira, anoita zvachose hazvirevi, kureva, haugoni chete regai kuwana chikamu akatarisirwa dzakakwirira Purofiti asiwo kurasikirwa zvose rako guru.

Munyika yakadaro mubhizimisi zviridzwa, izvo zvinopa chivimbo unotiranga, zvamazvirokwazvo kwazvo duku. Zvazvakadaro, uye vanotsigira US hurumende zvisungo, pamwe zvikuru chiremera hurumende munyika.

Reason Four: kuchengetedza reserves

Munhu wose anoziva munyika iyi kuti vanochengeta mari yavo girazi chirongo - izvi zvakafanana kuti muapise padanda. mune makore mashomanana, mitengo kuchaderedza navo ndezvokuti, pasinei nokuti uwandu zeros pamusoro Banknotes hakuzochinji.

Asi munhuwo mugari anongoti: kana ane nzira, anoda kuramba kwemakore mashoma, zvakakwana kuti vauye chero kubhengi uye akavhura dhipoziti nyaya umo mari yachengetwa mubereko inogona kuisa. Chokwadi, zvakawanda ichi haangavi mari, asi mukuru chinangwa - kuponesa mari nenzira chaiyo, kwete chezita. Nemamwe mashoko, hazvinei kuti zeros zvingani pamusoro bhiri, zvakakosha - sei vanogona kutenga zvigadzirwa ari muchitoro.

Sezvingatarisirwa, mabhengi kuenda kusauka, akavharwa, vanogona titorerwe rezinesi, asi nhasi hurumende mushure 2008 dambudziko yakavimbika insures deposits zvose mukati zvine chitsama.

mabhanga kuvimba, akavapindurawo, kubva Central Bank, iro anozivisa kuti rezenisi, akaisa refinancing mwero uye zvichingodaro. D. Asi chii chinoitika kune CBR? Mitengo zvakananga kwaari haina ramiswa, uye saka kwakachengetwa mu rubles noenderana okuchengetera mari mu girazi chirongo chero mugari - ibenzi uye maturo. Saizvozvowo instumentov kuchengetedza reserves uye vari gosoobligatsii "vavengi."

Sei US?

Chokwadi, hurukuro pamusoro ukuru nesimba Russia anogona kuva zvikuru sezvo zvakafanira, asi panguva ino ndiko chikwereti kuchengetedzeka hurumende US zvinodiwa zvitatu inokosha:

• kuvimbika;
• liquidity;
• profitability.

United States - mumwe mashoma nyika munyika umo hurumende wokuti kwoupfumi hakubvi pane "tenzi" yacho White House. Ani naani anouya simba munyika ino, mamiriro ezvinhu haachinji. Mukuwedzera, hurumende haina inotidzedzeresa kubva siyana nemhirizhonga, kumukira uye utongi kuchinja, fiscal kuchinja, hondo uye zvichingodaro munyika ino ziva huru utongi ari upfumi - .. Money anoda runyararo.

Kana mugumo we "Nguva dhora?"

Nhasi tinogona kuona zvakasiyana-siyana mafirimu, mapurogiramu eterevhizheni, mashoko enyika pamusoro pe pokuwa "enyika American zvemari piramidhi." Vazhinji "Chisel" iri upfumi vanoti zviri kuda kuitika, unofanira kumirira mumwe anenge maviri nemakore. Asi nezvoupfumi chaiyo kunyange svikiro rokuti (rinotevera hafu remakore) kumhanya mikana yakadaro havaoni.

Huwandu US chikwereti

Chokwadi, uwandu US chikwereti chaizvo - anopfuura 19 tiririyoni madhora, iyo yaiva 109,9% kubva GDP. Somuenzaniso, chikwereti weGirisi, Ireland uye Iceland somunhu chikamu GDP kupfuura US, uye chikwereti rweUkraine mumakore anouya kunogona kunda nenhamba idzi. Pano tinofanira kufunga kwete chezita yakawanda chikwereti, uye chikamu pakati GDP uye namabasa aro, ndizvo hurumende US kunodyira chete $ 250 billion. Kana iwe enzanisa mashoko bhajeti ane goho anenge 3.5 tiririyoni, mari yaizova minuscule. Saka kufamba achiudza kwazvo pamusoro pe US default inotevera 50-100 makore mangwanani.

Russia: US hurumende zvisungo zvikuru purofiti

Kana wechitatu chinokosha - profitability, ipapo US hurumende zvisungo pakutanga. Zvino, vazhinji vachaitwa kushamisika, asi pamusoro mashanu-gore matatu hurumende zvisungo vaya umo kunaka mari. Iyi haisi wosekwa: kuchengetedzeka Japan vakarasika kumativi 0.2% pagore, France - 0.5%, asi muna US unogona mari kusvika 1% pagore.

Zvino sei ukadyara? Mhinduro iri nyore - kuti varege kurasikirwa kunyanya mitengo.

Reason Four: rezvematongerwe enyika

Kutaura zvazviri, vaya nyika dziri mumaoko chikamu chinokosha hurumende zvisungo mune imwe nyika, kunogona nayo zvematongerwo. Achirasa reserves ake ose kuchengetedzeka, vanogona pakuedza mutengo wavo, saizvozvo havazokwanisi kutengesa zvimwe zvisungo, izvo zvakafanana kuti kuparara zvemari.

Asi isu tiri kudada hapana chinokosha - mugove Russia iri 5 chete% US chikwereti.

Muna 2014, Central Bank of Russian Federation, munguva zvirango pamusoro zvimwe sectors yeRussian upfumi, kukandwa pamusoro pamusika anenge 2/3 US hurumende kusungwa. Imwe shanduro chiito chakadaro - kuedza kuunza pasi American zvemari hurongwa. Asi Russia haasi China, umo hafu mhiri kwemakungwa chikwereti zvose. China Zano zvakakwana kuti vari kuenda kufunga resetting US yesangano sezvo yokupedzisira rinotanga tidzikame pamusoro misika mari.

mhedziso

Inogona kupfupikiswa, vachiti bhizimisi iri US hurumende zvisungo, atakatora Russian kubva siyana mibayiro:

1. Tsigirai National mari Gengi.
2. Rinopa Ruble liquidity pamusoro wokutengesera mapuriro.
3. Mari.
4. Ari kuedza kutenga enyika zvireruke.