Default muUkraine. Zvinorevei kuti Ukraine defaulted? Kufembera default muUkraine

Mugumo 2014 zvakanga zvakaoma chaizvo kuti Ukraine. In dzakafara makuru uye vezvenhau kazhinji unogona kunzwa kuti nyika munguva yemberi iri pedyo nyore havazokwanisi kubhadhara zvikwereti, uye default muUkraine hazvingadziviswi. The prerequisites nokuti pamashoko akadaro vane zvinetso zvakakomba mune zvekutepfenyura zvemari. Vhunduka kuumbwa nokuda wandei zvinoderedza mari nokuda izvo hurumende uye aifanira zvinoenderana zvavanosungirwa kuti vaite.

zvinhu

Muna January 31, 2014 chikwereti vatorwa munyika vakasvika bhiriyoni 222.4 Hryvnia, kana mabhiriyoni 27.8 emadhora. Nhamba iyi unoenderana 38% of zvachose chikwereti, iyo nyika hunovimbisa uye kuti anoenzanisa kusvika bhiriyoni 585,3 Hryvnia, kana mabhiriyoni 73,2 emadhora. Pakazosvika 2015, Hurumende aifanira kubhadhara mamiriyoni 12.7 Hryvnia, uye chete unovimbisa chikwereti chenyika. Maererano nehurumende bhajeti, iyo pachayo munyori Yatseniuk anodana kure yakanaka, muna January aifanira kubhadhara iri mari bhiriyoni 6.03 Hryvnia chete chikwereti SERVICING. On pamuripo chikuru huwandu chikwereti chakaita kuti mabhiriyoni 6,67 chete Hryvnia.

Chii chakaita nokufarisa nyanzvi?

Chavanoitirana nharo pakati nyanzvi pamusoro kana default kunoitika muUkraine kana kwete, kunge kwakakonzerwa unopinza zvinoderedza bhuku goridhe uye vatorwa mukutsinhana reserves munyika, iyo inoshandiswa pabasa chikwereti kwokunze. Unogona kutaura pamusoro rutapudzo kwakaita zvinhu ichienzaniswa October pa 20.82% muna November 2014. Kana isu kushandura ndeuke currency format, zvichaita kwakafanana mabhiriyoni 2,621 emadhora. Isakarurama pavakatambudzwa mashoko Moodys risingaoneki, iyo inoshandirwa 4500 nyanzvi kubva munyika 26. It akaita for kuti default muUkraine, kushanda chokuti mumakore 10 apfuura, SMP zvasvika nhoroondo yacho yakaderera.

Ko hurumende sei?

Pasinei nokuti ndingangokuvara default munyika anoonekwa nenyanzvi dzakawanda rurefu mwero mukana, hurumende ine panyaya iyi chavo. Musoro National Bank munyika Gontareva anoti mamiriro acho ezvinhu kudzora, uye mugumisiro mutengo overruns - vanoedza kuramba Gengi pa 8 Hryvnia munhu dhora uye pakutsigira zvehondo kupesana kumabvazuva kunyika. Kundikana kuedza vakawanda chiutsi kunetsana yakaguma muna kukundikana, vakatanga kuwira chinodiwa kuUkraine eurobonds. Pasinei run-up wokurera December 29, 2014 bhajeti uye chaiko ezvinhu, maererano iyo kuti bhajeti dhefisiti vakasvika bhiriyoni 63.67 Hryvnia, hurumende mangwanani gore rino kuti nokushingaira kutaura kuti mari yose asipo. Zvisinei, chokwadi munhu chete ndiye kushaya mari chikwereti basa ratova kutaura hwenguva pamwero zvoupfumi kuGreece. Kutsungirira Implementation kuitwa pasi chikwereti achava zvinogoneka chete kutsigirwa nechitarisiko chikwereti.

Chii default?

Default muUkraine anogona kunzi sezvo rwokudzivirira chipingamupinyi kuti anokwanisa kudzivirira nyika kubva yose mune zvoupfumi kusauka. nzira inopa kuti mashandiro rinoita akakwereta kubhadhara chikwereti pamusoro optimized zano. Unogona kutaura nezvechikwereti kugadzirisa, kusanganisira chokunyora kubhadhara kusvikira nguva apo nyika ichabuda dambudziko. Kazhinji, asi chinonakidza kuchaita kudzorera epamba upfumi ehurumende. Kana yokungotaura divi nyaya, ane chimwe chete kutaurwa rokuti chinokonzera kutya iri muvanhu.

Iyo zviitiko nyanzvi dzinoti nokuda mumwe default muna Ukraine?

Kana pamutemo default muUkraine achaparadzwa zvakaziviswa, uchatanga kuoneka muhombe kumatare kubva kuruzhinji uye mabhizimisi vamiririri kurutivi nemabhengi mari inosimbiswa deposits, nenzira makambani kubva rwezvemabhengi zvekutepfenyura, izvo vachaedza havarongi zvinhu. Maererano nenyanzvi, achawedzera uwandu litigation pakati mapato sezvo migumisiro rutapudzo wakatendeseka mitero munyika. Migumisiro default muUkraine Zvakaoma chaizvo kufungidzira, sezvo matambudziko ari rwezvemabhengi zvekutepfenyura, hurumende ichava kumanikidza chiratidzo ose pabazi nezvebasa uye kukura ehurumende.

Inofashukira chete zvinoomesa zvinhu

Basil Yurchishin, uyo akashanda se nyanzvi macroeconomics, rinoti mamiriro ezvinhu munyika akazunungusa inofashukira zvakakwana guru. Chinhu chokutanga Anovhundutsira kure vatorwa vanoita - rechiuto kupesana kumabvazuva. Unogona kutaura panzvimbo yakaderera ratings munyika panguva dzakawanda chechetere. State Statistics Committee inoshuma kuti munguva kubva January kusvika September mu upfumi rehurumende racho paakapiwa mabhiriyoni 1,8 chete Hryvnia. Zvaive munguva pfupi iri nokuderera kukura vanorumwe zvakananga mubhizimisi ne 14.9%. Izvi chokuita zvakananga kuderedza yacho Hryvnia, izvo, maererano pamutemo nemashoko kuNational Bank munyika vakasvika 58.9%. Hurumende anopikira vanhu kuti nyika haisi pasina rutsigiro America, China uye EU, kubudikidza tranches izvo vanokwanisa kugadzirisa zvose zvinetso ehurumende. Pasinei nemamiriro ezvinhu, rinenge hapana anogona kutaura kuti Ukraine ari vava kuda default. Vachibhejera zvinhu anoiswa pamusoro kugona yokunzvenga Chiitiko nokuda kutsigira simba naye nyika.

Chii chakamirira Ukraine mune ramangwana?

Nyanzvi kuongorora mubvunzo wokuti pachava default muUkraine, zvakaoma kupa mhinduro kupedzeredza. Zvimwe zviitiko zvichaita kungovimba chisarudzo nyika kwenyika iri rutivi hanya. Kana Chiitiko chichaitika, kunyange zvazvo nyika vachava nomukana kuburikidza refu vapore apiwa kupinda renyika, asi zvichaita kutarisana zvimwe zvinetso. Kudzidza mubvunzo kuti zvinorevei kuti kuUkraine Default, tinogona kutaura pamusoro pokuwa international kuera, saka hombe water drainage pakati investor guru harinzvengeki. nyika World kurega kupa zvikwereti, mari ichava kuwanikwa chete soro kufarira rates nourongwa anondibatsira. Kuwa Gengi, kuderedza kupinzwa, zvinoderedza kuti mari chaiyo vokuparidzira, achifumira urovha - izvi chete inokosha, chii usaregedza nyanzvi dzinoti. Negative kuchabatsira kunzi pamusoro rwezvemabhengi chidimbu, kunyanya kuitika kuvhara mari masangano akawanda, mutengi nyaya bindepinde, kunzwisisa basa achirumbidza chechokwadi sectors hwenyika. Pane mukana kuti vamwe nemabhengi kuchengetedzeka pamusika vechikamu vachabviswa zvose mitoro, vachitevera muenzaniso mamiriro. Achifumira urovha hakudzivisiki. Nyanzvi, nekururama dzinoongorora mamiriro ezvinhu, akaona kuvapo zvizere-siyana mananara, kuti mukuru uye muduku zvakadini kwakunoitwa upfumi nhasi.