Urovha uye Mutemo Okun raMwari

Urovha ari urovha kumanikidzwa rokumanikidzirwa, yomuka somugumisiro kugara inopedziswa zvakanyatsoenzana pakati zvitengeswa uye kudiwa pamusoro basa pamusika. It vangazivikanwa vakadaro waenda maonero ayo, sezvo yokuzvidira (frictional), STRUCTURAL, cyclical, kwezvinhu, pamwaka, uye zvimwe yakavanzika.

Nokuda siyana zvinhu, pachiyero pamutemo kwemabasa exchange haisi nguva dzose zvakadaro, nokuti urovha yakavanzwa (mu muchikwata ichi zvinosanganisirawo vomumusha kubva overpopulated nharaunda) pamwero kupfuura mamwe marudzi. Panguva iyoyowo, pamutemo nenhamba regai kurangarira kwenhamba vagari havashande vakarega kutsvaka basa (usaora vakanyorwa pabasa Exchange), uyewo nevaya vasingadi kushanda (vanhu vakadaro vanenge mamiriyoni 1-2 ari makuru munyika dzakabudirira musika ). vanhu ava havambokwanisi kutsivana pamutemo nhamba. izvi zvose kunokanganisa nouchapupu musiyapaduku kwemabasa.

Kukosha kukarukureta yacho urovha unodiwa. mari iyi inofungidzirwa kuti huwandu vakarasika kumarudzi zvoupfumi Domestic Product maererano nawo. For nezvoupfumi, mutemo Okun kuti inotaura backlog chaiwo GDP kubva kwadzo ukoshi.

American musayendisiti A. Oukenu akakundikana kuratidza kuvapo ukama pakati bhuku yose chigadzirwa uye mabasa. ukama ichi chakazozivikanwa se mutemo Okun waMwari. Maererano nomutemo uyu, ari yezvinoreva National chigadzirwa iri inversely Proportional nokuwanda vanhu vasingashandi munyika. With Kukura kwemabasa 1% kukosha chaiyo GDP ipfupi ne dzinenge 2%. Sezvo zvepanyama urovha hakudzivisiki uye zvechigarire, nokuti kukarukureta kuti backlog National chigadzirwa vhoriyamu chete funga kwazvo urovha. Ichi yokupedzisira maonero, nenzira, nhasi ndizvo zvizhinji dzakabudirira.

Kuongorora padanho rwokuzvarwa kwemabasa kugamuchirwa kutora kukosha zvakaenzana 6% pakati uwandu akagwinya vanhu. Kare, anenge 30-35 apfuura, akanga akatsunga 3%, zvichireva kuti basa mufambo kwakawedzera (ichi zvinotungamirira kuwedzera yokuzvidira urovha) uye NTP zvazvingava vakawedzera (nayo anowedzera STRUCTURAL urovha). Munguva yedu, yose urovha mwero iri kazhinji kupfuura yepanyama zvazvingava, izvo, maererano noMutemo Okun wacho, zvichiita kuti arasikirwe GDP munyika pamusika.

Panguva iyoyowo, Mutemo Okun kunoratidza ane Ivan Kuchin ukama. Zvairehwa kuti, pasi wepagore kuwedzera National chigadzirwa kubudikidza anenge 2.7% kubva uwandu vanhu vasingashandi vachava chete uye haangazvidembi kupfuudza dzinongoitika tsika. Saka, kana macroeconomic parameters havagoni kukunda matatu muzana mhinganidzo, kuti urovha mwero munyika iri kuwedzera.

Zvinofanira kucherechedzwa kuti Mutemo Okun haisi kunyatsoteerera mutemo, zvechokwadi izvo rinoitwa pasi chero ezvinhu. Asi, ndizvo zviri kuitika kuti ane mumwe nyika uye nguva zvausingakwanisi.

Achifumira urovha ane zvinotevera zvakaipa: pane underutilization, kuderedza wenyika yacho basa zvinogona kwenyika, kunaka upenyu kuderera, kuwedzera kumanikidza kukosha mubayiro, kuwedzera voruzhinji mari iri kuchinja basa mazano kana vapore nyanzvi chinzvimbo, nhamba yezvigumbuso.

The Pane zvinhu kukanganisa mabasa zvazvingava, zviri sezvinotevera:

- musangano uye zvoupfumi - mamiriro pamisika kwezvivako, basa, kuchinja kwesangano uye dzepamutemo siyana masangano uye mabhizimisi, privatization, STRUCTURAL kuchinja upfumi;

- Economic - mitengo uye mitengo, mwero kuwanda, mamiriro apo mubhizimisi basa, mari uye zvikwereti hurongwa, uye National kugadzirwa;

- hwokugadzira uye zvoupfumi - NTP kumhanya, nhamba romugove uye kudiwa akasiyana sectors zviri basa pamusika, STRUCTURAL kuchinja upfumi;

- wevanotungamirira - wokubereka, vanofa, zera uye kurara mamiriro chavagari, upenyu anotarisirwa, mirayiridzo uye zvemaBhaibheri kutama Rwako.