Mwero kudzokerazve tichitarisa mitengo

Mibvunzo mitengo zvinowanzodavirwa pachena akasiyana-siyana ehurumende masangano, kubva nhau, nokugumisa hurumende uye siyana vanoongorora. Asi ichi ndicho zvikurukuru yokungotaura nenharo, dzakanangana nekugadzirisa matambudziko chaiwo imwe boka revanhu. More kukoshesa nyaya vagari vanhuwo vaifarira kwete macroeconomic mashoko uye hwezuva nezuva, tinogona kutaura zuva nezuva. Hazvina kuzeza kubva nyaya uye vamiririri diki uye unosvikirwa mabhizimisi. Saka chii, chokwadi, mwero upfumi kuchikosha zvakadaro, nokuti kazhinji vanhu ndinoona mitengo chete sechinhu chinoita kuti mutengo kuwedzera?

Tinyatsonzwisisa inflationary tarisiro

Chokwadi kuti mitengo kunonyanya sechaikwanisa kukurudzira mumwe munhu akadai mwero yokudzoka. Ngatitange nepfungwa yokuti ari akapoteredza mitengo mutengo mutemo upi zvebhizimisi hazvigoni zvafanotaurwa pasina kufungisisa inflationary tarisiro, mune mamwe mazwi, pasina imwe yakakwana tinyatsonzwisisa zvichibvira mutengo kuchinja, zvose pamusika mabasa inopiwa kana zvigadzirwa, asiwo yakatsvuka zvinhu pamusika, zvinoriumba, etc. .d. Kunyanya kuoma iri projected zvemari profitability mune dzinonzi kusagadzikana mitengo, izvo kuchinja zvakaoma kufungidzira. Uye kana iri pfupi-rokuti for mamiriro, dambudziko iri rinogona kugadziriswa rukuru zvakarurama pamunenge muchizvivaraidza kwenguva kuwana zvakarurama mugumisiro akaoma - mwero yokudzoka anova anenge nezvimwewo. Kuti zvakanaka kuongorora mitengo netarisiro munzvimbo Pricing zano wekambani kana mamwe mabhizimisi sangano zvinokurudzirwa kushandisa anonzi mutengo indices. indices aya kubatwa zveupfumi Masvomhu, uyewo tsika Statistical tsvakurudzo.

mitengo kukarukureta

In tsika, dzemaitirwe kuti mitengo netarisiro rinosanganisira matanho inokosha shanu. Chekutanga, nyika profitability zvemari mune ramangwana kunoenderana yakarurama uye kwakakwana Specification pamusoro mutengo rinomutsa, kunyanya avo vari pasi nokufembera. Zvinokoshawo kuziva nguva uye chaiko wokufembera, zvakadai refu, pfupi kana svikiro. Kana profitability pakati anoratidza pane imwe penguva kufungidzira inefficiency okuwana, zvakafanira kuti nhamba kuchinja mumabhizimisi chirongwa zvavakanga vachida kuita. Chechipiri, zvinokosha kuongorora kunyatsoongorora chaizvo chii sechigaro mwero yokudzoka nokuda rapfuura nguva, uyewo zvose Analytical parameters kuti mitengo, kusvikira zvinoita kuti anaisa. Chechitatu, zvinokosha kuziva uye kufunga zvinhu zvose kuti zvichakanganisa remangwana mwero mitengo inobva zvavo kubva muzana rova. Next anouya zvakananga dzemaitirwe pangava mitengo. Uye yokupedzisira Danho - the probabilistic tinyatsonzwisisa zvose zvinobvira nzira kuti mumamiriro ezvinhu okukura - kubva tariro kuna ukuwo, Dzinotangazve.

Mitengo Zvechokwadi - chisingadzivisiki muitiro chero vanhu. It chete kunoratidza mutemo upi nguva ukoshi mari. Izvi zvinoreva kuti mumwe chete mari ndiwo kukosha nhasi pane mangwana, kana, kunyanya, zvakusweramangwana. Zvinoreva kuti kana imwe zvebhizimisi profitability zvinoratidza pasi kukura prices mune ramangwana, kurimwa kushanda zvichaita kunokonzeresa kutsauka nokuda depreciation kuti midziyo. Sezvo mhedziso, mwero profitability chero basa anofanira kurongwa kufungisisa zvose zvinobvira njodzi, kusanganisira kufungisisa mwero mitengo, uyewo yaro vavariro zviratidzo. Zvinokosha kuyeuka kuti zvakarurama kukarukureta kuti mitengo netarisiro angabvumira mukuru mwero zvakakwana kufanotaura mberi mutengo itsika.